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An unexpected, dramatic last-minute event which potentially alters the outcome of an election. The term dates to the 1980 [presidential campaign], in which [Jimmy Carter] planned, for October of that year, an operation to rescue American hostages held in Iran. Carter was lagging behind in polls and a successful rescue, an "October surprise," would likely have shifted the momentum to his side. The attempt failed, however, and Carter lost the election. Some have suggested that the Reagan campaign [deliberately] sabotaged the effort in order to bolster his candidacy.
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