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A framework revealing how we misinterpret probability—not just by misunderstanding chance, but by being systematically misled by the very concept of odds. Fooled by the Odds Theory shows how statistical thinking can obscure individual experience, how aggregate probabilities can hide personal realities, and how the language of odds can make the improbable seem impossible—until it happens to you. We are fooled when we trust the odds more than our own experience, when we dismiss the unlikely as irrelevant.
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