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The umbrella term for all fields of study that have given up on the idea of "facts" and now deal exclusively with "highly probable guesses." It's the scientific method after it's had a few drinks and decided that certainty is overrated. From probabilistic medicine ("These symptoms are probably just allergies, not the plague") to probabilistic meteorology ("There's a 60% chance of rain, which is meteorologist-speak for 'we have absolutely no idea'"), this is the science of keeping your options open.
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